Employment in the State’s private sector declined by 2,500 jobs in July, ending a hopeful run of job gains earlier in the year, according to information released by the NJ Department of Labor in its monthly employment report.
The July loss ended five months of modest gains, leaving the State with an overall increase in private-sector employment of 10,900 jobs so far this year, a gain of just three tenths of one percent. If job growth remains stuck at this low level, 2006 would become one of the weakest non-recession years for employment growth in a quarter century.
New Jersey’s unemployment rate rose to 5.1 percent in July, up from 4.9 percent in June. The unemployment rate has been rising fitfully since hitting an expansion low of 4.2 percent in May 2005.
Virtually all of this year’s private-sector job gains have come in the service industries, which managed a small gain of 900 jobs in July and are up by 16,400 jobs for the first seven months of the year.
One way to gauge how weak private-sector job growth has been in New Jersey is to compare current employment levels to the previous employment peak reached in December 2000, just before the onset of the last recession.
In July, private-sector employment totaled 3,433,000 jobs. This is a mere 3,000 jobs above the previous peak reached six years and seven months ago.
The current private-sector employment expansion is also producing many fewer jobs than the two expansions that preceded it. Since it got underway in April 2003, this expansion (40 months old as of July) has produced an average of about 26,000 private-sector jobs a year. In comparison, the 1990s expansion produced an average of 63,800 private-sector jobs a year and the 1980s expansion, close to 90,000.
Most of the job growth in the current expansion has come in the construction trades and in certain service industries, particularly in education and health, as well as in leisure and hospitality. Most losses have come in manufacturing and information services.
Since December 2000, construction employment has grown by 20,000 jobs for a gain of 13.2 percent. Education and health services have added 67,500 jobs for a gain of 13.4 percent, and companies in the leisure and hospitality industries have added 40,900 jobs, an increase of 13.5 percent.
But the professional and business services sub-sector, an important engine of job growth in the 1990s, has lagged. Modest gains over the last three and a half years have failed to offset sharp recession losses, leaving that sector only 500 jobs above its pre-recession peak of 602,300 jobs.
Manufacturing employment has declined steadily throughout the period although losses have moderated over the last two years. The State’s manufacturers now employ 317,200 people, 104,800 fewer than they employed six and a half years ago. The information-services sector, which includes computer and telecommunications services, has lost 32,500 jobs since December 2000, one quarter of its pre-recession total of 127,500.
Even as employment growth in the private sector has slowed over the last six and a half years, government employment has soared. Since December 2000, public-sector employment in New Jersey has expanded by a net 53,200 jobs, a 9 percent increase.
NJ Private-Sector Employment
Net 3,000 Jobs Added in Six and a Half Years
(in thousands of jobs)
Pre-Recession Peak
Dec-00 July 06 Change % Differ.
MAJOR SECTORS
Construction 151.4 171.4 20.0 13.2%
Manufacturing 422.0 317.2 -104.8 -24.8%
Services 2,854.7 2,942.5 87.8 3.1%
SERVICES SUBSECTORS
Trade, Transportation & Utilities 908.0 884.4 -23.6 -2.6%
Professional & Business Services 602.3 602.8 0.5 0.1%
Education & Health Services 505.1 572.6 67.5 13.4%
Leisure & Hospitality 303.6 344.5 40.9 13.5%
Financial Activities 266.1 283.2 17.1 6.4%
Information 127.5 95.0 -32.5 -25.5%
TOTAL PRIVATE SECTOR 3,430.0 3,433.0 3.0 0.1%
Source: NJ Department of Labor, seasonally adjusted nonfarm employment |